Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League

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Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League — OFLM article featured image

Arsenal welcome Chelsea to the Emirates Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the standout fixture of Premier League Matchday 27. The Gunners are locked in a fierce title race with Liverpool, whilst Chelsea are pushing hard for a top-four finish under Enzo Maresca. Here is our full match preview with predictions, odds, and betting tips.

Match Details

Date: Saturday 14 February 2026, 15:00 GMT
Venue: Emirates Stadium, London
Competition: Premier League Matchday 27
TV: Sky Sports Premier League

Head-to-Head Record

These two London rivals have produced some memorable encounters in recent seasons. Arsenal have won four of the last six meetings in all competitions, including a 5-0 demolition at the Emirates earlier this campaign in the League Cup. Chelsea’s last league victory at the Emirates came back in 2021, and they’ve struggled to contain Arsenal’s fluid attacking play since Arteta found his rhythm.

Last 6 meetings: Arsenal wins: 4 | Draws: 1 | Chelsea wins: 1

Arsenal Form & Team News

Mikel Arteta’s men are on a formidable run, unbeaten in their last 14 Premier League matches (W11, D3). Bukayo Saka has returned from injury and looked sharp as ever, whilst Martin Ødegaard continues to dictate play from midfield with surgical precision. Declan Rice anchors the engine room, allowing the full-backs to push high and create overloads.

The main concern is at centre-back, where William Saliba picked up a knock in midweek. Arteta is expected to make a late call, but Jakub Kiwior offers a capable replacement if needed. Arsenal’s expected XI: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber; Rice, Ødegaard, Havertz; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.

Chelsea Form & Team News

Chelsea’s season has been a tale of two halves. A stuttering start under Maresca has given way to a strong run of results since Christmas — they’ve won seven of their last nine in the league, climbing to fourth. Cole Palmer remains their talisman, with 14 goals and 10 assists in the league this term. Nicolas Jackson has found consistency, and Moisés Caicedo has been immense in midfield.

However, away form remains an issue. Chelsea have won just four of their 13 away league games this season, and they’ve conceded first in six of those matches. The back four is likely to feature Reece James and Marc Cucurella at full-back, with Levi Colwill and Wesley Fofana in the centre.

Match Odds

Arsenal to Win: 3/5 (bet365)
Draw: 3/1 (William Hill)
Chelsea to Win: 9/2 (Betfair)

Betting Tips

Best Bet: Arsenal to Win & Over 2.5 Goals — 6/4 (bet365)

This is our headline selection. Arsenal have scored three or more goals in eight of their 13 home league matches, and Chelsea’s defensive fragility on the road makes goals highly likely. The Emirates will be rocking for this one, and Arteta’s side have the quality to blow Chelsea away. The 6/4 on an Arsenal win with over 2.5 goals represents excellent value.

Tip 2: Bukayo Saka Anytime Goalscorer — 11/8 (Paddy Power)

Saka has been Arsenal’s standout performer since returning from injury, scoring in four of his last six appearances. He loves the big occasion and has a superb record against Chelsea — five goals in his last seven meetings with the Blues. At 11/8 with Paddy Power, he’s a strong anytime scorer selection.

Tip 3: Both Teams to Score — 8/11 (Sky Bet)

Despite Arsenal’s dominance at home, they’ve kept just two clean sheets in their last six at the Emirates. Chelsea, for their part, have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches this season. BTTS has landed in four of the last five meetings between these sides. The 8/11 with Sky Bet is a reliable selection.

Tip 4: Over 3.5 Goals — 13/5 (William Hill)

For those seeking a bigger price, over 3.5 goals at 13/5 with William Hill is worth a look. Three of the last five Arsenal vs Chelsea league meetings have produced four or more goals, and both sides are committed to attacking football. There’s a real chance this becomes a thriller.

Our Prediction

Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea. The Gunners’ home form is too strong, and Saka will be the difference. Expect Palmer to grab a consolation for the visitors, but Arsenal should have the game wrapped up by then.


18+ | Odds correct at time of publication. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. Visit BeGambleAware.org for support.

James Mitchell
James MitchellSenior Football Writer

Senior Football Writer at OFLM with over 12 years of experience covering the Premier League, Championship, and European football. Specialises in tactical analysis, transfer news, and betting insights.

✅ Fact-checked12+ years experience

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Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Arsenal 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Aston Villa 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brentford 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Brighton Hove 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Coventry City 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Crystal Palace 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Everton 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fulham 0 0 0 0 0 0

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